Week 3 for the CFL kicks off on Thursday, July 11th 2013 with the Saskatchewan Roughriders taking on the Toronto Argonauts.
Going into this game, the Roughriders are unbeaten. They had a nice easy week 1 win against the Eskimos, and a surprisingly dominant win against the Stampeders in Week 2. That game in particular was a huge one for Saskatchewan, as they came back from being down at the half, and the crowd really roared them on.
Toronto had a tight Week 1, barely beating the Hamilton Tiger-Cats 39-34. They were then given a good 24-16 thumping in BC, falling to the Lions.
Let’s check out the odds for the Argonauts vs Roughriders this week:
Roughriders vs Argonauts Betting Odds:
Point Spread: Roughriders +1.5, Argonauts -1.5.
Over/Under: 55.5 points.
A very interesting line. Our CFL Linesmaker tells us most of the action is on the Roughriders. And why wouldn’t it be? 2-0 and a huge win over the Stampeders. Meanwhile, the Argonauts struggled against the weak Tiger-Cats, and looked poor against the Lions.
Why? Well let’s get into it….
Roughriders vs Argonauts Betting Tips:
First – this line raised alarm bells in my head. It’s what is commonly known as a trap play – something so lucrative that the sportsbooks put up that you can’t help but fall over it – that being the undefeated Roughriders actually being underdogs.
And it’s not just based on the previous two weeks – I’m basing this thought process on the pre-season betting as well. Saskatchewan are hosts of the Grey Cup this year and the majority of the betting money has went into the Roughriders. The sportsbooks KNOW that people are itching to bet Saskatchewan – and they’re making them underdogs?
This is the perfect time for the bookies to have a nice win. People betting pre-season and on Week 1 & 2 with the Saskatchewan Roughriders are up money. They’ll be feeling very confident going into Week 3. And with a price like that – that’s where the betting amounts get doubled and even tripled.
In my opinion – the jury is still out on Saskatchewan. They’ve won 2 games so far – but both of those were due to epic collapses. Eskimos were a mess in Week 1, and the Stampeders were a similar mess….but only in the 2nd half of Week 2.
Ricky Ray has been solid for Toronto, and they also have the two Chads – Kackert and Owens, who add a lot of great offensive options. Saskatchewan have struggled to stop a team from scoring when it really matters – and Toronto have the offense to take advantage of that. The Roughriders also dominated the ball possession last week and that really was the key to victory – I’m not seeing that here against Toronto.
Add in the fact that it’s a short week for Saskatchewan and yeah – I’m really liking the Toronto victory.